Sustainability

The world is on fire and our leaders are failing, poll finds

Poll respondents voice frustration at being left to take on climate action on their own after governments and companies fail to act.

WOFFORD HEIGHTS, CA - AUGUST 24: The French Fire comes close to destroying homes on August 24, 2021 in Wofford Heights, California. The 16,000-acre French Fire began August 18 and is 19 percent contained.  (Photo by David McNew/Getty Images)

Adults across the United States and globally have damning opinions about the performance of their political leaders when it comes to climate change, and say they are noticing an escalation in extreme weather events and natural disasters.

A new POLITICO Morning Consult Global Sustainability Poll reveals frustration from citizens that they are being left to take on climate action on their own, when they believe governments and the companies with the most resources (which also tend to bear the most responsibility for carbon emissions) should shoulder the burden.

Consumers in 13 countries on five continents surveyed say companies should share more of the costs of combating climate change, including paying higher taxes. Fossil fuel companies, in particular, face the most skeptics.

Surprisingly, climate may be the only issue where President Joe Biden is getting higher marks from the right than from the left. That’s not necessarily because Republican voters are concerned that Biden is doing enough, but because they’re satisfied that he is legislatively constrained.

Biden’s base, meanwhile, is furious. Though the administration has made climate action a centerpiece of its rhetoric, executive action and legislative agenda, 80 percent of Americans who labeled themselves left-leaning said that the Biden administration is doing too little to address climate change, including 64 percent of Democrats surveyed.

The United States is home to the largest ideological divide on climate action. Among Americans, 97 percent of left-leaning voters expressed concern about climate change, compared to 51 percent of right-leaning voters.

All segments of the political spectrum give the Biden team poor marks for their climate approach: Overall, less than 1 in 5 say Biden is doing “the right amount to combat climate change.” But 26 percent of right-leaning voters say Biden is doing the right amount, compared to just 10 percent of those identifying as left-leaning.

Majorities in all 13 countries surveyed said they are “very concerned” or “somewhat concerned” about climate change. That includes majorities among right-leaning voters in every country, except Australia where only 49 percent of right-leaning voters said they are concerned.

While left-leaning voters are overall most likely to express concern about the climate, the ideological divide is small in most of the countries surveyed.

The ideological gap is narrowest in the countries where citizens are most concerned about climate change: Brazil, South Africa and Mexico.

Ninety percent of Brazil’s self-identified left is concerned about climate change, compared to 93 percent of centrist voters, and 78 percent of right-leaning voters. In Mexico, centrist and right-leaning voters are more concerned than their left-leaning compatriots.

No flexibility for China

Large majorities of voters believe that China is no longer a “poor” country and that it now needs to follow the same climate targets and timeline as wealthier nations. That view is consistent across the 12 non-China populations surveyed: with as little as 3 percent of Canadians over 65, and 2 percent of Australian high-income earners believing China deserves flexibility to decide its timeline.

While clear majorities say they back wealthy countries financially supporting poorer countries to make a green transition, they do not believe that generosity should be extended to China.

Majorities in every country surveyed — ranging from 57 percent in Japan up to 80 percent in South Africa — agreed that China, with the world’s second-largest economy, should now be classed as a wealthy country.

Will India be the next rising power to decouple from the U.S.?

Indian voters hold some of the most difficult opinions for climate campaigners and negotiators to address.

Mirroring the Indian government’s position at the recent U.N. COP26 climate talks in Glasgow, Scotland, 9 in 10 Indians insist that wealthy countries have an obligation to help lower-income countries combat climate change.

The difficulty for negotiators, led by U.S. climate envoy John Kerry, is while Indians want support from rich countries, they’re not keen to take further action to reduce their climate impacts in exchange for that support.

Indians are the most likely to say their country is doing its “fair share” or more than its “fair share” to tackle climate change: 70 percent think this, the highest level among the 13 populations surveyed. That compares to just 33 percent of Japanese respondents who think the same about their country.

The close alignment of Indian government policy and Indian public opinion is an ominous sign for those campaigning against coal use: Burning coal delivers around 50 percent of India’s energy supply.

Kerry describes coal as “the dirtiest fuel on the planet,” and said last month that “use of coal went up 6 percent in the last months [and] year. That’s a problem and there’s no other way to cut it.”

In Germany it’s a similar story, but around natural gas. Sixty-two percent of Germans surveyed said their the country is doing its fair share or better on climate. With Germany still reliant on liquified natural gas for its electricity, especially from Russia, the chance that it will reinvigorate its nuclear sector or shift further to renewables is slim.

Who’s unhappiest with their government?

Respondents in South Africa expressed a deep concern and dissatisfaction around how climate change is handled in their country. Among European countries, French voters are the most skeptical of their government’s climate efforts. Right-leaning and centrist French voters say by a margin of 2 to 1 that their government is not doing enough on climate change. Among left-leaning voters, that balloons to 66 percent who say too little is being done compared to just 17 percent who think the right amount is being done.

While less critical of their governments, Brazilians and Mexicans are also among the most climate concerned.

“It’s clear by this point that public opinion across the world wants governments and corporations moving far faster — that they’re increasingly enraged by the slow-walking of the worst crisis we’ve ever stumbled into,” said Bill McKibben, co-founder of 350.org, the world’s longest-running climate campaign.

Invest in infrastructure, rather than ban cars and coal, consumers say

Aside from funding climate action directly and through taxation, respondents appear uncertain what role businesses should play in the fight against climate change.

Environmentally-friendly infrastructure is the most popular immediate climate investment in all 13 countries surveyed, well ahead of banning coal and gasoline-powered cars.

There is little consensus on whether or how quickly to ban some of the biggest sources of carbon emissions.

India is keenest to ban gasoline-powered vehicles — with 50 percent supporting a ban by 2030 — but 41 percent of Americans surveyed said gasoline-powered vehicles should never be banned. There is relatively little global support to ban these vehicles before 2040.

Large majorities in every country surveyed support holding fossil fuel companies accountable for their climate impact. Russia topped the list: 90 percent agreed that fossil fuel companies should “definitely” or “probably” be held responsible for the impacts their products have on the environment.

But when it comes to whether banks and insurance companies should disentangle themselves from fossil fuel projects, the support is softer: Around one-third of citizens, including 51 percent in Japan, suggested they did not have enough information to offer an opinion.

The POLITICO Morning Consult Global Sustainability Poll surveyed 1,000 adults in 13 countries Dec. 16-22. The survey has a 3 percent margin of error.

Morning Consult is a global data intelligence company, delivering insights on what people think in real time by surveying tens of thousands across the globe every single day.

More details on the poll and its methodology can be found in this spreadsheet.